Sport Picks
Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest
Wales
Cymru Premier Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn 
Match Events
58'
58'
Sub
Rees L. In: Thomas H.
Out: Rees L.
65'
65'
Sub
Robles L. In: Davies A.
Out: Robles L.
65'
65'
Sub
Hart S. In: Roberts E.
Out: Hart S.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Colwyn Bay and Haverfordwest finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Colwyn Bay come out ahead of Haverfordwest on wins alone.
- Model gives Colwyn Bay a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Haverfordwest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Colwyn Bay | Haverfordwest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 16 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Colwyn Bay
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest
3:0
Apr 13, 2024 Cymru Premier
Haverfordwest vs Colwyn Bay
3:1
Mar 2, 2024 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Haverfordwest
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Colwyn Bay Compare
Top Goalscorer Roberts D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Haverfordwest Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Colwyn Bay 85 / 100
Haverfordwest 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Colwyn Bay Haverfordwest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Colwyn Bay found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Colwyn Bay stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Haverfordwest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Colwyn Bay VS Haverfordwest
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Colwyn Bay
(Home) 26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5 Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0 Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
31 Aug
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0 Llandudno FC
21 Aug
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 4
Haverfordwest
(Away) 26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0 Holywell Town FC
11 Sept
Haverfordwest
3 : 1 Briton Ferry
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1 Trefelin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0 Haverfordwest
04 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 1 Haverfordwest
28 Aug
Llandudno FC
2 : 0 Haverfordwest
07 Aug
TNS
2 : 0 Haverfordwest
18 Jul
Gloucester City
0 : 1 Haverfordwest
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 29:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Penybont | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 22:9 | 27 |
| 3 | Connahs Q. | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 27:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:14 | 22 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26:20 | 22 |
| 7 | Cambrian United | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 8 | Llandudno FC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 9 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 21:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 18:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Haverfordwest | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 12 | Briton Ferry | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:20 | 9 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 14 | Trefelin | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5:27 | 3 |
| 15 | Ammanford Town | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:31 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12:36 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
