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Colwyn Bay vs Retford United

England England

Northern Premier League 2010/2011 Llanelian Road
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Colwyn Bay play Retford United in the Northern Premier League 2010/2011. Colwyn Bay are favorites here. Recently, Colwyn Bay averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Retford United averaged 1.06 goals scored and 2.74 conceded. In past meetings, Colwyn Bay won 2, Retford United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 2, 2011 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Colwyn Bay and 1.44 for Retford United. This points to a Colwyn Bay double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Colwyn Bay
15%
Draws
20%
Retford United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Colwyn Bay picked up more points recently compared to Retford United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 16%
Retford United Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colwyn Bay Retford United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.6 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.74

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Colwyn Bay vs Retford United
1:0
Oct 23, 2010 NPL Premier Division
Retford United vs Colwyn Bay
3:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 62 / 100
Retford United 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colwyn Bay Retford United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Colwyn Bay & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.7%
1.75
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Colwyn Bay attacking → ← attacking Retford United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colwyn Bay scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Retford United let in goals in 100% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Colwyn Bay went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Retford United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 21
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Halifax423084108:3698
2Colwyn Bay422471167:5679
3Bradford PA422381184:5577
4United of Manchester422441476:5376
5North Ferriby United422271378:5173
6Buxton4220101271:5270
7Worksop422161572:5469
8Kendal422151680:7768
9Marine422071574:6467
10Chasetown422061676:5966
11Matlock422061674:5966
12Northwich Victoria421891566:5563
13Stocksbridge421761975:7557
14Ashton United421652157:6253
15Mickleover421572070:7652
16Whitby421491958:7751
17Nantwich421372268:9046
18Frickley4211112043:6844
19Burscough421272356:7343
20Hucknall4211102157:8043
21Ossett Town42952845:10332
22Retford United42523531:11117