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Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Llanelian Road, Old Colwyn
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Davies J.
27'
Owen K.
35'
Sirrell L.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru Premier game between Colwyn Bay and Trefelin finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colwyn Bay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Colwyn Bay
20%
Draws
15%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trefelin come out ahead of Colwyn Bay on wins alone.
  • Model gives Colwyn Bay a 65% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 20%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Colwyn Bay Trefelin
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 3
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.4 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Cymru Premier
Colwyn Bay vs Trefelin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Colwyn Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Davies J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davies A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Trefelin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Colwyn Bay 85 / 100
Trefelin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Colwyn Bay Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colwyn Bay scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Trefelin conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Colwyn Bay remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Colwyn Bay VS Trefelin
1.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Colwyn Bay

(Home)
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
05 Sept
Penybont
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
31 Aug
Colwyn Bay
2 : 0
Llandudno FC
28 Aug
TNS
5 : 1
Colwyn Bay
Page 1 of 6

Trefelin

(Away)
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
04 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Trefelin
31 Aug
Haverfordwest
2 : 1
Trefelin
28 Aug
Trefelin
1 : 1
Ammanford Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 9 8 1 0 24:3 25
2 Barry Town 9 7 1 1 23:11 22
3 Penybont 9 6 3 0 15:7 21
4 Connahs Q. 9 6 1 2 22:7 19
5 Caernarfon 9 6 1 2 24:10 19
6 Llandudno FC 9 5 1 3 17:12 16
7 Colwyn Bay 9 5 1 3 15:12 16
8 Cambrian United 9 4 3 2 16:11 15
9 Cardiff Metropolitan University 8 4 2 2 19:10 14
10 Airbus UK Broughton FC 9 4 0 5 13:14 12
11 Haverfordwest 8 2 1 5 6:14 7
12 Briton Ferry 9 2 1 6 8:18 7
13 Ammanford Town 9 0 3 6 6:23 3
14 Flint Town 9 0 2 7 7:20 2
15 Trefelin 9 0 2 7 3:23 2
16 Holywell Town FC 9 0 1 8 11:34 1
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)