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Comarca vs UD Carboneras

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2010/2011 game between Comarca and UD Carboneras finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comarca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Comarca
15%
Draws
0%
UD Carboneras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Comarca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Comarca come out ahead of UD Carboneras on wins alone.
  • Comarca are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Comarca have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.2%
Comarca Clean Sheet 18%
UD Carboneras Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comarca UD Carboneras
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 11 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 19 30
Goals Scored 0.97 0.16
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Comarca
0:3
Dec 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs UD Carboneras
3:0
Apr 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Comarca vs UD Carboneras
2:1
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Comarca
3:4
Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
UD Carboneras vs Comarca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comarca 85 / 100
UD Carboneras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comarca UD Carboneras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comarca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Carboneras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

UD Carboneras's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Comarca's goal record stands at 58% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Comarca VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comarca

(Home)
17 May
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1
Comarca
12 May
Comarca
3 : 1
Maracena
05 May
Comarca
0 : 3
Mancha
28 Apr
Martos
5 : 1
Comarca
21 Apr
Comarca
1 : 1
Torremolinos
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UD Carboneras

(Away)
06 May
Marbella
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
01 May
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Comarca
22 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Ciudad de Vicar
15 Apr
CD Nerja
3 : 0
UD Carboneras
08 Apr
UD Carboneras
0 : 3
Arenas Armilla
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comarca 38 23 10 5 57:29 79
2 Alhaurin 38 22 12 4 58:23 78
3 Loja 38 21 11 6 61:35 74
4 Malaga B 38 20 10 8 62:35 70
5 CD Ronda 38 19 11 8 68:37 68
6 Maracena 38 17 12 9 51:37 63
7 Antequera 38 18 8 12 72:47 62
8 Motril 38 15 13 10 50:33 58
9 Marbella 38 16 8 14 58:46 56
10 Martos 38 14 11 13 38:40 53
11 Mancha 38 11 16 11 49:42 49
12 Huetor Tajar 38 12 10 16 36:51 46
13 El Palo 38 13 7 18 57:65 46
14 Ciudad de Vicar 38 11 12 15 46:55 45
15 Velez 38 11 11 16 56:57 44
16 UD Carboneras 38 10 10 18 57:71 40
17 Melilla B 38 7 13 18 40:71 34
18 CD Baza 38 8 10 20 29:58 34
19 CD Alhaurino 38 7 9 22 38:58 30
20 Adra 38 0 6 32 13:106 6
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)