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Comercial FC - Tiete U20 vs America RN U20

Brazil Brazil

Copinha 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Joaozinho
11' Event
Joaozinho
42' Event
Mamedio G.

AI Match Summary

The Copinha 2025 game between Comercial FC - Tiete U20 and America RN U20 finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America RN U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
6%
Draws
90%
America RN U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: America RN U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America RN U20 come out ahead of Comercial FC - Tiete U20 on wins alone.
  • America RN U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Copinha 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 22.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Clean Sheet 20%
America RN U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial FC - Tiete U20 America RN U20
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 1.2 1.25
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2025 Copinha
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 vs America RN U20
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bamba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

America RN U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joaozinho
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mamedio G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 10 / 100
America RN U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial FC - Tiete U20 America RN U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Comercial FC - Tiete U20 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

America RN U20 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial FC - Tiete U20 VS America RN U20
1.2 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial FC - Tiete U20

(Home)
13 Jan
Bragantino U20
3 : 0
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
10 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 1
Criciuma U20
07 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
1 : 0
Piracicaba U20
04 Jan
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
2 : 4
Canaa U20
12 Aug
Desportivo U20
2 : 1
Comercial FC - Tiete U20
Page 1 of 6

America RN U20

(Away)
16 Jan
Gremio U20
4 : 1
America RN U20
14 Jan
Mirassol U20
0 : 2
America RN U20
13 Jan
Sport Recife U20
1 : 2
America RN U20
09 Jan
America RN U20
3 : 2
Sobradinho U20
06 Jan
Tanabi U20
0 : 5
America RN U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ U2033004:19
2Votuporanguense U2032015:36
3Floresta EC U2031024:33
4Fast Clube U2030033:90
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ponte Preta U2032107:17
2IAPE U2031203:15
3Cuiaba U2031113:24
4Santa Fe SP U2030031:100
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Operario PR U20330015:19
2Santa Cruz U2031116:24
3Tanabi U2031113:84
4CE Forca E Luz U2030032:150
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma U2033006:19
2Mirassol U2032015:56
3Capitao Poco U2031024:53
4Rio Branco ES U2030033:70
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani U2032017:26
2Atletico-MG U2032015:26
3Nova Iguacu U2031112:24
4Francana U2030121:91
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo SP U20321010:37
2Bandeirante U2032014:56
3Azuriz U2031116:64
4Tuna Luso U2030032:80
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferroviaria U20321010:17
2Santos U2032019:36
3Tirol U2031112:14
4Jacioba U2030031:170
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Sao Jose (PA) U2032014:26
2Vitoria U2031203:15
3Comercial U2031111:24
4Retro U2030121:41
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Agua Santa U2032018:56
2CRB U2032015:46
3Brasiliense U2031025:53
4Tupa U2031022:63
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fluminense U2033009:19
2Linense U2032016:46
3Internacional de Limeira U2031024:43
4Coimbra Sports U2030033:130
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo U20330011:19
2XV de Jau U2032015:26
3Serra Branca U2031022:43
4Picos U2030031:120
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1EC Juventude U2032014:26
2America RN U2031116:54
3Operario AC U2031113:44
4Comercial FC - Tiete U2031024:63
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U2032105:17
2Real Brasilia U2031205:35
3Sao Carlos U2031113:44
4Imperatriz U2030032:70
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portuguesa U2032107:17
2America RJ U2032014:46
3Atletico GO U2031114:14
4Itapirense U2030031:100
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desportivo U2031207:45
2Coritiba U2031204:35
3Dom Bosco U2031114:34
4Hercilio Luz U2030123:81
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Capivariano U2032105:17
2Bahia U2032013:36
3Sergipe U2031114:34
4Madureira U2030030:50
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 17)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osasco Audax U2033006:09
2Athletico-PR U2032014:36
3Mazagao U2031022:63
4Ferroviario U2030032:50
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 18)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino U2032108:07
2Votoraty SP U2032104:07
3ABC U2031023:73
4Genus U2030030:80
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 19)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras U20321015:17
2Osasco Sporting U2031208:25
3Santa Cruz AC U2030212:72
4Nautico FC U2030121:161
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 20)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Recife U2032106:07
2Referencia U2032103:17
3FC Cascavel U2030122:41
4Boavista U2030123:91
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 21)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gremio U2032106:17
2Vitoria da Conquista U2031112:54
3Porto Vitoria U2031023:33
4AC Guaratingueta U2030211:32
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 22)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Goias U2033006:39
2Marcilio Dias U2031116:64
3Taubate U2031024:53
4Inter de Minas U2030121:31
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 23)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zumbi U2032105:27
2Flamengo RJ U2032019:36
3Cruzeiro-PB U2030211:62
4EC Sao Bernardo U2030121:51
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 24)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bragantino U20330011:39
2Uniao Suzano U2032014:36
3Avai U2031025:63
4Uniao Carmolandense U2030030:80
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 25)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ituano U2032105:37
2Fortaleza U2031115:34
3Sao Bento U2031116:54
4Carajas U2030123:81
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 26)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America MG U2033006:09
2Sfera U2032013:26
3Piaui U2031023:33
4Estrela De Marco U2030031:80
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 27)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santo Andre U2033006:19
2Corinthians U2032016:26
3Porto Velho U2031024:73
4Rio Branco AC U2030033:90
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 28)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Falcon U2031203:15
2Vila Nova FC U2031203:15
3Aster Itaqua U2031114:34
4Dourados U2030121:61
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 29)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flamengo SP U2032103:07
2Barra FC U2031113:34
3America de Pedrinhas U2031113:44
4Internacional U2030120:21
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 30)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ibrachina U20321011:37
2Nautico U2032106:37
3Araguacema U2031025:103
4Monte Roraima U2030032:80
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 31)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Juventus U2032107:17
2Ceara U2032106:27
3Trindade U2030121:51
4Portuguesa Santista U2030122:81
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 32)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Piracicaba U2032104:27
2Vasco U2030302:23
3Nacional SP U2030212:32
4Canaa U2030212:32
Promotion - Copinha 2025 (Play Offs)