Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Sul-Matogrossense 2023 game between Comercial MS and Chapadao finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chapadao.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Chapadao come out ahead of Comercial MS on wins alone.
- Comercial MS are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comercial MS | Chapadao |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapadao has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Comercial MS scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Comercial MS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Comercial MS
(Home)Chapadao
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Costa Rica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Operario MS | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Chapadao | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Coxim | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 8 |
| 5 | Comercial MS | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dourados | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Ivinhema | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 11 |
| 3 | Novoperario | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 4 | Aquidauanense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:15 | 10 |
| 5 | Operario AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 5 |
