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AI Match Summary
Comercial MS host Clube de Regatas Aquidauana in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025. This one's hard to separate. Comercial MS have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Clube de Regatas Aquidauana's 2.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Comercial MS have won 0 to Clube de Regatas Aquidauana's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.81) point toward Clube de Regatas Aquidauana. Clube de Regatas Aquidauana in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Clube de Regatas Aquidauana has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Comercial MS.
- Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Comercial MS.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comercial MS | Clube de Regatas Aquidauana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 19 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 2.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comercial MS scored in 70% of their last 27 games.
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Comercial MS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bataguassu | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 27:9 | 23 |
| 2 | Clube de Regatas Aquidauana | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 23:7 | 23 |
| 3 | Maracaju | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 4 | Comercial MS | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 5 | Esporte Clube Taveiropolis | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 11:25 | 6 |
| 6 | Sao Gabriel MS | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | 5 |