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Comercial MS vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS host Clube de Regatas Aquidauana in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025. This one's hard to separate. Comercial MS have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Clube de Regatas Aquidauana's 2.13 scored and 1.25 conceded. Head-to-head, Comercial MS have won 0 to Clube de Regatas Aquidauana's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2025, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.81) point toward Clube de Regatas Aquidauana. Clube de Regatas Aquidauana in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Comercial MS
30%
Draws
34%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Clube de Regatas Aquidauana has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Comercial MS.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for Comercial MS.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 11%
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
Matches Played 27 19
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana vs Comercial MS
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 35 / 100
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana let in goals in 68% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Comercial MS went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Clube de Regatas Aquidauana lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bataguassu1072127:923
2Clube de Regatas Aquidauana1072123:723
3Maracaju1044212:1316
4Comercial MS1024412:1710
5Esporte Clube Taveiropolis1020811:256
6Sao Gabriel MS101276:205