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Comercial MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Sul-Matogrossense 2
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AI Match Summary

Comercial MS in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comercial MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Comercial MS
20%
Draws
23%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Comercial MS have won more games recently than Esporte Clube Taveiropolis.
  • Model gives Comercial MS a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Comercial MS here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 16%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
Matches Played 34 17
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 1
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1
Goals Conceded 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2:0
Oct 9, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Comercial MS
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 84 / 100
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Comercial MS found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Comercial MS remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial MS

(Home)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
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Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
17 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 3
7 de Setembro
12 Jul
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
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