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Comercial MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS host Esporte Clube Taveiropolis in the Sul-Matogrossense 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Comercial MS have averaged 1.38 scored and 2.13 conceded recently, against Esporte Clube Taveiropolis's 1.25 scored and 2.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Comercial MS have won 1 to Esporte Clube Taveiropolis's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2025, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.69) back Comercial MS to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Comercial MS
6%
Draws
4%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Comercial MS have won more games recently than Esporte Clube Taveiropolis.
  • Model gives Comercial MS a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 13%
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 0
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis vs Comercial MS
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 84 / 100
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Esporte Clube Taveiropolis conceded in 80% of 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Comercial MS found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Comercial MS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial MS

(Home)
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
25 Jun
Comercial MS
2 : 1
7 de Setembro
20 Jun
Aquidauanense
1 : 0
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 6

Esporte Clube Taveiropolis

(Away)
17 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 3
7 de Setembro
12 Jul
EC Campo Grande
0 : 2
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
04 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
0 : 1
Aquidauanense
29 Jun
Uniao ABC
0 : 1
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
22 Jun
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
1 : 2
Misto
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comercial MS53119:510
2Aquidauanense43014:29
3Uniao ABC52216:28
4Misto52215:48
57 de Setembro52128:67
6Esporte Clube Taveiropolis52034:66
7Sao Gabriel MS41123:54
8EC Campo Grande50142:111
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2027 (Main)