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Comercial MS vs Misto

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

Sun, Sep 29, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Misto Logo

Misto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial MS host Misto in the Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024. This one's hard to separate. Comercial MS have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.53 conceded recently, against Misto's 1.1 scored and 0.7 conceded. Head-to-head, Comercial MS have won 0 to Misto's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Jul 25, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.92 vs 1.71, favoring Misto. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Comercial MS
30%
Draws
31%
Misto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Comercial MS have won more games recently than Misto.
  • Model gives Comercial MS a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 12%
Misto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial MS Misto
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Misto
0:1
Nov 3, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Misto vs Comercial MS
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Misto
0:0
Feb 25, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Comercial MS vs Misto
0:0
Jan 28, 2018 Sul-Matogrossense
Misto vs Comercial MS
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial MS 47 / 100
Misto 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial MS Misto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Comercial MS has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Misto let in goals in 40% of their last 10 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Comercial MS VS Misto
1.13 Goals Scored 1.29
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.71
88% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial MS

(Home)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 6

Misto

(Away)
02 Aug
Misto
3 : 1
EC Campo Grande
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
Uniao ABC
0 : 0
Misto
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
04 Jul
7 de Setembro
3 : 1
Misto
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Naviraiense 8 5 3 0 15:3 18
2 Aguia Negra 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
3 7 de Setembro 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
4 Comercial MS 8 2 1 5 11:17 7
5 Operario AC 8 0 3 5 6:13 3
6 Misto 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense 2025 (Main)