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Comercial PI vs Araguaina

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Série D 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Comercial PI
30%
Draws
29%
Araguaina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Araguaina have won more games recently than Comercial PI.
  • Win probability leans Araguaina's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Série D 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 16%
Araguaina Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Araguaina
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.97 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2012 Serie D
Araguaina vs Comercial PI
0:2
Jun 24, 2012 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Araguaina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 23 / 100
Araguaina 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Araguaina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Araguaina has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Comercial PI remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Comercial PI scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Araguaina
1.2 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
80% Over 1.5 88%
60% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)
19 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
River-PI
16 Sept
Comercial PI
1 : 1
Julho Esporte
12 Sept
Picos
2 : 1
Comercial PI
06 Sept
Comercial PI
2 : 1
Flamengo PI
26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

Araguaina

(Away)
28 Jun
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
0 : 0
Araguaina
21 Jun
Araguaina
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
14 Jun
Araguaina
9 : 0
Galvez
30 May
Guapore
3 : 2
Araguaina
24 May
Araguaina
1 : 1
Porto Velho
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 5 1 2 20:16 16
2 Vilhena 8 5 0 3 17:10 15
3 Acreano 8 4 1 3 19:15 13
4 Penarol 8 3 0 5 16:16 9
5 Nautico FC 8 2 0 6 9:24 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampaio Correa 8 8 0 0 25:2 24
2 Mixto 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
3 Comercial PI 8 2 2 4 6:13 8
4 Santos AP 8 1 4 3 9:16 7
5 Araguaina 8 0 3 5 4:17 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baraunas 8 4 3 1 12:7 15
2 Campinense 8 4 2 2 11:8 14
3 Horizonte 8 3 4 1 9:5 13
4 Ypiranga 8 2 2 4 13:15 8
5 Petrolina 8 0 3 5 9:19 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
2 Sousa 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Feirense 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
4 Itabaiana 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
5 Vitoria da Conquista 8 1 1 6 7:13 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 8 4 3 1 15:9 15
2 Ceilandia 8 4 2 2 14:14 14
3 CENE 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
4 Aparecidense 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
5 Sobradinho 8 0 3 5 8:16 3
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 8 4 4 0 13:4 16
2 Nacional MG 8 3 4 1 7:5 13
3 Aracruz 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
4 Volta Redonda 8 2 2 4 5:6 8
5 Guarani-MG 8 1 3 4 3:11 6
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cianorte 8 5 3 0 14:4 18
2 Mogi Mirim 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
3 Ceramica AC 8 3 2 3 10:7 11
4 Marilia 8 1 4 3 7:15 7
5 Concordia 8 1 1 6 7:15 4
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Metropolitano 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
2 SE Juventude 8 3 3 2 7:4 12
3 Arapongas 8 2 4 2 6:6 10
4 Brasil de Pelotas 8 2 3 3 6:7 9
5 Mirassol 8 1 4 3 8:11 7
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)