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Comercial PI vs Caicara

Brazil Brazil

Piauiense 2 2024
Comercial PI Logo

Comercial PI

0 - 1
FT
Caicara Logo

Caicara

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Debu
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Piauiense 2 2024 game between Comercial PI and Caicara finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caicara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Comercial PI
30%
Draws
23%
Caicara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial PI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Caicara haven't matched Comercial PI's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Comercial PI here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 20%
Caicara Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Caicara
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 10 3
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.97 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Comercial PI
0:2
Oct 3, 2024 Piauiense 2
Comercial PI vs Caicara
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Piauiense 2
Caicara vs Comercial PI
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial PI Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Caicara Compare

Top Goalscorer Debu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 31 / 100
Caicara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Caicara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial PI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caicara let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.

Away concern: Caicara has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Comercial PI scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Caicara
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)
26 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
23 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 0
Corisabba
18 Oct
Comercial PI
0 : 1
Flamengo PI
08 Oct
Corisabba
2 : 1
Comercial PI
05 Oct
Caicara
0 : 2
Comercial PI
Page 1 of 6

Caicara

(Away)
18 Oct
TEC
2 : 1
Caicara
11 Oct
Caicara
0 : 0
Flamengo PI
05 Oct
Caicara
0 : 2
Comercial PI
01 Oct
Picos
2 : 2
Caicara
28 Sept
Caicara
0 : 1
Corisabba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-PI 8 6 1 1 12:2 19
2 Piaui 8 3 3 2 9:6 12
3 Comercial PI 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
4 Caicara 8 3 1 4 8:9 10
5 Flamengo PI 8 0 2 6 3:17 2
Promotion - Piauiense 2 2024 (Play Offs)