Sport Picks

Comercial PI vs Independente Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil

Série D 2011

Comercial PI

1 - 2

Independente

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independente in this Série D 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Comercial PI

30%

Draws

37%

Independente

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence

Comercial PI have won more games recently than Independente.
37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Comercial PI Clean Sheet 20%

Independente Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial PI	Independente
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	6	12
Losses	12	9
Goals Scored	1.07	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.83	1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2011 Serie D

Comercial PI vs Independente

1:2

Jul 24, 2011 Serie D

Independente vs Comercial PI

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 36 / 100

Independente 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial PI Independente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independente Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Comercial PI scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Independente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Comercial PI stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comercial PI VS Independente

1 Goals Scored 1.33

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67

63% Over 1.5 67%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial PI

(Home)

01 Oct

Flamengo PI

1 : 0

Comercial PI

26 Sept

Caicara

1 : 3

Comercial PI

19 Sept

Comercial PI

2 : 1

River-PI

16 Sept

Comercial PI

1 : 1

Julho Esporte

12 Sept

Picos

2 : 1

Comercial PI

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Independente

(Away)

07 Jun

Independente

0 : 0

Itupiranga

04 Jun

Itupiranga

1 : 0

Independente

30 May

Independente

3 : 0

Uniao Paraense

13 May

Izabelense

1 : 2

Independente

09 May

Uniao Paraense

1 : 1

Independente

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