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Stadium Background

Comercial PI vs Sampaio Correa

Brazil Brazil

Série D 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Série D 2012 game between Comercial PI and Sampaio Correa finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sampaio Correa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Comercial PI
11%
Draws
80%
Sampaio Correa
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sampaio Correa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Comercial PI have managed 0 goals a game lately — Sampaio Correa are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Sampaio Correa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sampaio Correa here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Comercial PI Clean Sheet 17%
Sampaio Correa Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial PI Sampaio Correa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 5 13
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2012 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Sampaio Correa
0:1
Jul 1, 2012 Serie D
Sampaio Correa vs Comercial PI
4:0
Sep 4, 2011 Serie D
Sampaio Correa vs Comercial PI
3:0
Jul 31, 2011 Serie D
Comercial PI vs Sampaio Correa
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 12 / 100
Sampaio Correa 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial PI Sampaio Correa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sampaio Correa conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Comercial PI's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Comercial PI stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sampaio Correa
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Remo851220:1616
2Vilhena850317:1015
3Acreano841319:1513
4Penarol830516:169
5Nautico FC82069:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sampaio Correa880025:224
2Mixto833213:912
3Comercial PI82246:138
4Santos AP81439:167
5Araguaina80354:173
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Baraunas843112:715
2Campinense842211:814
3Horizonte83419:513
4Ypiranga822413:158
5Petrolina80359:193
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CSA862015:320
2Sousa83417:513
3Feirense83239:1211
4Itabaiana81345:106
5Vitoria da Conquista81167:134
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CRAC843115:915
2Ceilandia842214:1414
3CENE841317:1113
4Aparecidense831411:1510
5Sobradinho80358:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Friburguense844013:416
2Nacional MG83417:513
3Aracruz82335:79
4Volta Redonda82245:68
5Guarani-MG81343:116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cianorte853014:418
2Mogi Mirim834110:713
3Ceramica AC832310:711
4Marilia81437:157
5Concordia81167:154
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Metropolitano84228:714
2SE Juventude83327:412
3Arapongas82426:610
4Brasil de Pelotas82336:79
5Mirassol81438:117