Sport Picks

Brazil

Série D 2011

Trem

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Comercial PI play Trem in the Série D 2011. It looks like a close match. Recently, Comercial PI averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Trem averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Comercial PI won 1, Trem won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 22, 2011 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Comercial PI and 1.86 for Trem. This points to a Trem double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Comercial PI

18%

Draws

45%

Trem

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Trem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Comercial PI picked up more points recently compared to Trem.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.86 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Comercial PI Clean Sheet 10%

Trem Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Comercial PI	Trem
Matches Played	30	35
Wins	10	16
Draws	5	6
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	0.97	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.4

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2011 Serie D

Trem vs Comercial PI

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Aug 6, 2011 Serie D

Comercial PI vs Trem

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial PI 35 / 100

Trem 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Comercial PI Trem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Trem or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Comercial PI attacking → ← attacking Trem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial PI scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Trem let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Comercial PI went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Trem lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 54

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cuiaba	8	5	1	2	19:11	16
2	Penarol	8	4	2	2	9:8	14
3	Placido de Castro	8	3	3	2	16:9	12
4	Nacional-AM (Manaus)	8	2	1	5	9:14	7
5	SE Vila Aurora	8	1	3	4	7:18	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independente	8	4	2	2	12:10	14
2	Sampaio Correa	8	4	1	3	17:8	13
3	Trem	8	3	2	3	8:11	11
4	Sao Raimundo RR	8	1	5	2	9:11	8
5	Comercial PI	8	2	2	4	9:15	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santa Cruz de Natal	8	5	1	2	9:6	16
2	Santa Cruz	8	4	3	1	10:6	15
3	Guarani de Juazeiro	8	3	2	3	7:4	11
4	Alecrim	8	3	0	5	7:12	9
5	CA Porto	8	1	2	5	6:11	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coruripe	8	5	1	2	13:11	16
2	Treze PB	8	5	0	3	14:11	15
3	Bahia de Feira	8	4	0	4	12:9	12
4	SE River Plate	8	2	2	4	10:12	8
5	Vitoria da Conquista	8	2	1	5	6:12	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tupi-MG	8	4	2	2	10:8	14
2	Anapolina	8	4	1	3	15:11	13
3	Itumbiara	8	4	1	3	13:10	13
4	Gama	8	2	3	3	8:9	9
5	Tocantinopolis	8	2	1	5	10:18	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villa Nova AC	8	5	1	2	11:6	16
2	Volta Redonda	8	4	3	1	11:3	15
3	Audax RJ	8	3	2	3	13:7	11
4	Bosque Formosa	8	2	3	3	5:12	9
5	SAO Mateus	8	0	3	5	7:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Osasco Sporting	8	4	2	2	12:8	14
2	Mirassol	8	4	2	2	6:7	14
3	CENE	8	4	1	3	15:13	13
4	Operario-PR	8	3	1	4	7:9	10
5	Ceramica AC	8	1	2	5	6:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SE Juventude	8	6	1	1	19:7	19
2	Cianorte	8	4	2	2	9:9	14
3	Brusque	8	3	1	4	6:11	10
4	CA Metropolitano	8	3	0	5	14:16	9
5	Cruzeiro RS	8	1	2	5	6:11	5