Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Comercial U20 vs America MG U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Copinha
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Yan A.
56' Event
Gustavo Henrique
84' Event
Henrique L.

AI Match Summary

The Copinha game between Comercial U20 and America MG U20 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America MG U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Comercial U20
20%
Draws
61%
America MG U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and America MG U20 come out ahead of Comercial U20 on wins alone.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on America MG U20 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Comercial U20 Clean Sheet 14%
America MG U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial U20 America MG U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Copinha
Comercial U20 vs America MG U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

America MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gustavo Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial U20 10 / 100
America MG U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial U20 America MG U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America MG U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Comercial U20 scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

America MG U20 has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Comercial U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS America MG U20
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial U20

(Home)
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 3
America MG U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
2 : 0
Noroeste U20
03 Jan
Comercial U20
1 : 2
Atletico-PI U20
09 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 0
Vitoria U20
06 Jan
Comercial U20
0 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20
Page 1 of 6

America MG U20

(Away)
02 Oct
America MG U20
4 : 1
Itabirito U20
19 Sept
Itabirito U20
2 : 2
America MG U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
29 Aug
Nacional de Muriae U20
1 : 4
America MG U20
21 Aug
Coimbra Sports U20
0 : 1
America MG U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Alagoinhas U20 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Volta Redonda U20 3 0 1 2 5:7 1
4 Santa Fe SP U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio U20 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Votuporanguense U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Falcon U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Galvez U20 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goias U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 America RN U20 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Tanabi U20 3 1 0 2 1:7 3
4 Sobradinho U20 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sport Recife U20 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Mirassol U20 3 2 0 1 3:4 6
3 Forte U20 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Linense U20 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletico-PR U20 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Osasco Sporting U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Marica U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Aracatuba FC U20 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Ceara U20 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Olimpico EC U20 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Carajas U20 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Athletic Club U20 3 3 0 0 10:0 9
2 Guarani U20 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Assisense U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Naviraiense U20 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians U20 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 XV de Jau U20 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Luverdense U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Trindade U20 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia U20 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 Internacional de Limeira U20 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 CSA U20 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
4 America SP U20 3 0 2 1 0:4 2
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG U20 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Atletico-PI U20 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Comercial U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Noroeste U20 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo SP U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Tuna Luso U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
3 Santa Cruz U20 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 CA Bandeirante U20 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guanabara City U20 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Vasco U20 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Velo Clube U20 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 I9 Futebol Clube U20 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Francana U20 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Barra FC U20 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 EC de Patos U20 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ponte Preta U20 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Meia Noite U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Coritiba U20 3 1 0 2 11:6 3
4 Associacao Esportiva Real U20 3 0 1 2 1:11 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferroviaria U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Cuiaba U20 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 America RJ U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Quixada U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Real Brasilia U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Sao-Carlense U20 3 0 2 1 4:5 2
4 Uniao Cacoalense U20 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 17)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Figueirense U20 3 1 1 1 5:8 4
3 Sao Luis MA U20 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
4 Cosmopolitano Sports U20 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 18)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
2 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Criciuma U20 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Piracicaba U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 19)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Independente AP U20 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
3 CS Maruinense U20 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
4 Real Soccer U20 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 20)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario PR U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Portuguesa U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Vila Nova FC U20 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Paulinia FU U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 21)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude U20 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Sao Jose EC U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 AC Guaratingueta U20 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 22)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Botafogo RJ U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Aguia De Maraba U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Taubate U20 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Estrela De Marco U20 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 23)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 Uniao Mogi U20 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Confianca PB U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Centro Olimpico U20 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 24)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaquaquecetuba U20 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Novorizontino U20 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
3 Nautico U20 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 SE Juventude U20 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 25)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense U20 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Agua Santa U20 3 1 1 1 5:6 4
3 Brasiliense U20 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Sfera U20 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 26)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ituano U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Referencia U20 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ivinhema U20 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Real SC U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 27)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Monte Roraima U20 3 2 0 1 8:7 6
3 Remo U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Batalhao U20 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 28)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP U20 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Vitoria U20 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Capivariano U20 3 0 3 0 5:5 3
4 Rio Branco ES U20 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 29)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Osasco Audax U20 3 2 1 0 10:1 7
2 Atletico-MG U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 QFC U20 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Uniao EC U20 3 0 1 2 4:12 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 30)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Santo Andre U20 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Bangu U20 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Ferroviario U20 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 31)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Retro U20 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 CA Juventus U20 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 FC Cascavel U20 3 1 1 1 9:6 4
4 Sao Bento U20 3 0 0 3 3:11 0
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 32)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional SP U20 3 2 1 0 5:0 7
2 Internacional U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Clube Sociedade Esportiva U20 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Portuguesa Santista U20 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
Promotion - Copinha (Play Offs)