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Stadium Background

Comercial vs Taquaritinga

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Cristiano

AI Match Summary

Taquaritinga in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Taquaritinga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Comercial
30%
Draws
37%
Taquaritinga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Taquaritinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Taquaritinga have won more games recently than Comercial.
  • Comercial are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Comercial Clean Sheet 68%
Taquaritinga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comercial Taquaritinga
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Paulista A4
Comercial vs Taquaritinga
0:1
Feb 28, 2009 Paulista A2
Comercial vs Taquaritinga
2:0
Jan 27, 2008 Paulista A2
Taquaritinga vs Comercial
4:1
Mar 25, 2007 Paulista A2
Comercial vs Taquaritinga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comercial Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Taquaritinga Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristiano
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comercial 51 / 100
Taquaritinga 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comercial Taquaritinga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Comercial scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Taquaritinga let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Comercial has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comercial VS Taquaritinga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Comercial

(Home)
18 Aug
Comercial
0 : 1
Piracicaba
08 Aug
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 1
Comercial
31 Jul
Comercial
0 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
25 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 2
Comercial
18 Jul
Comercial
2 : 0
Noroeste
Page 1 of 6

Taquaritinga

(Away)
18 Apr
Penapolense
2 : 2
Taquaritinga
11 Apr
Taquaritinga
1 : 1
Penapolense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 1
Taquaritinga
25 Mar
Taquaritinga
2 : 1
Tanabi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)