Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A3 2025 game between Comercial and XV de Jau finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Comercial carry the better recent record into this one.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on XV de Jau taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comercial | XV de Jau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.89 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comercial found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (37 games).
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
XV de Jau has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Comercial remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Comercial
(Home)XV de Jau
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monte Azul | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 27:14 | 30 |
| 2 | Marilia | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 28 |
| 3 | Desportivo | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 25 |
| 4 | Sertaozinho | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 14:8 | 25 |
| 5 | Catanduva FC | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 24 |
| 6 | Rio Branco SP | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 25:15 | 23 |
| 7 | Uniao Sao Joao | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 18:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Itapirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 14:13 | 20 |
| 9 | Rio Preto EC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Uniao Suzano | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 15:22 | 17 |
| 11 | XV de Jau | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 9:12 | 17 |
| 12 | Francana | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 17:19 | 17 |
| 13 | EC Sao Bernardo | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | 16 |
| 14 | Bandeirante | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:20 | 15 |
| 15 | Lemense | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12:21 | 13 |
| 16 | Comercial | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:18 | 11 |
