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Comerciantes FC vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Palomino K.
24'
Palomino K.
24'
Palomino K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2023 game between Comerciantes FC and Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comerciantes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Comerciantes FC
6%
Draws
4%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Comerciantes FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Comerciantes FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 13 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2023 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2:0
May 18, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs Comerciantes FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zambrano J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 95 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comerciantes FC's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Comerciantes FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes FC

(Home)
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
18 Jul
Sport Huancayo 2
1 : 1
Comerciantes FC
11 Jul
Sport Boys
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
27 Jun
Comerciantes FC
0 : 0
Estudiantil CNI
20 Jun
Union Comercio
0 : 1
Comerciantes FC
Page 1 of 7

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

(Away)
30 Sept
Santos FC
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
18 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
0 : 3
Juan Aurich
13 Sept
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
1 : 1
Ayacucho
05 Sept
Carlos Stein
3 : 0
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
31 Aug
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427
Promotion - Liga 1 2024 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)