Sport Picks
Comerciantes FC vs Ayacucho - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 2 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos 
Match Events
18'
18'
Barboza S.
23'
23'
Perlaza V.
38'
38'
Lemos M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 2 game between Comerciantes FC and Ayacucho finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comerciantes FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ayacucho
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Ayacucho haven't matched Comerciantes FC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Comerciantes FC's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%
Ayacucho Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes FC | Ayacucho |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Ayacucho
5:1
May 22, 2026 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Comerciantes FC
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Ayacucho
1:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 Liga 2
Ayacucho vs Comerciantes FC
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Perlaza V.
2 Goals Assists Leader Arakaki H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ayacucho Compare
Top Goalscorer Morales J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes FC 77 / 100
Ayacucho 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes FC Ayacucho
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Comerciantes FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes FC found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).
Ayacucho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Ayacucho has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes FC VS Ayacucho
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes FC
(Home) 07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0 Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Union Minas
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Union Minas
09 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 3
Ayacucho
(Away) 06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0 Ayacucho
26 Sept
Ayacucho
1 : 0 Union Minas
12 Sept
Ayacucho
0 : 2 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
22 Aug
Ayacucho
7 : 1 Binacional
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0 Ayacucho
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
15 Aug
Union Minas
3 : 1 Ayacucho
02 Aug
Tacna Heroica
0 : 3 Ayacucho
18 Jul
Alianza Huanuco
3 : 2 Ayacucho
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
