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Comerciantes FC vs Llacuabamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Comerciantes FC host Llacuabamba in the Liga 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Comerciantes FC at 1.25 goals for, 0.96 against; Llacuabamba at 1.43 for, 0.82 against. Past meetings favor Comerciantes FC slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 7, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.56) point toward Llacuabamba. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Comerciantes FC
30%
Draws
35%
Llacuabamba
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Llacuabamba come out ahead of Comerciantes FC on wins alone.
  • Llacuabamba are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 15%
Llacuabamba Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC Llacuabamba
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.96 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Comerciantes FC
4:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Comerciantes FC
0:1
Aug 22, 2023 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Llacuabamba
2:0
May 31, 2023 Liga 2
Llacuabamba vs Comerciantes FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 11 / 100
Llacuabamba 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC Llacuabamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Llacuabamba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Comerciantes FC scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Llacuabamba has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Comerciantes FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS Llacuabamba
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes FC

(Home)
18 Oct
ADA Jaen
0 : 1
Comerciantes FC
11 Oct
Comerciantes FC
0 : 2
ADA Jaen
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
Page 1 of 6

Llacuabamba

(Away)
18 Oct
Llacuabamba
1 : 2
Sport Huancayo 2
12 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0
Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0
Llacuabamba
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 4 2 1 1 9:5 9
2 Union Minas 4 2 0 2 8:3 7
3 Pirata 4 2 0 2 3:6 6
4 Ayacucho 4 1 1 2 2:8 4
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADA Jaen 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
2 Sport Huancayo 2 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Llacuabamba 4 1 2 1 5:2 6
4 Comerciantes FC 4 1 0 3 1:7 5
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 4 2 2 0 11:2 10
2 U. San Martin 4 3 0 1 6:9 9
3 Tacna Heroica 4 0 2 2 3:6 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams