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Comerciantes FC vs San Marcos Prediction & H2H Stats

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos
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Match Events

4' Event
Pereira G.
8'
Gadea A.
13' Event
Dominguez J.

AI Match Summary

Comerciantes FC in this Liga 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Comerciantes FC
20%
Draws
0%
San Marcos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Comerciantes FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Comerciantes FC have won more games recently than San Marcos.
  • Comerciantes FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%
San Marcos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comerciantes FC San Marcos
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 13 4
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.31 0.33
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs San Marcos
6:0
Aug 1, 2025 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Comerciantes FC
1:0
Sep 18, 2024 Liga 2
San Marcos vs Comerciantes FC
1:1
Aug 23, 2024 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs San Marcos
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comerciantes FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemos M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Pereira G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

San Marcos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comerciantes FC 95 / 100
San Marcos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comerciantes FC San Marcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comerciantes FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marcos let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

San Marcos's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Comerciantes FC scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Comerciantes FC VS San Marcos
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comerciantes FC

(Home)
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1
Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1
Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0
Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2
Union Minas
15 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
2 : 2
Comerciantes FC
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San Marcos

(Away)
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0
San Marcos
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
16 Aug
Llacuabamba
3 : 0
San Marcos
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
02 Aug
Pirata
3 : 0
San Marcos
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Cajamarca 8 3 3 2 10:8 14
2 Moquegua 8 3 3 2 14:11 13
3 Cesar Vallejo 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
4 Tacna Heroica 8 2 4 2 11:12 10
5 Carlos Mannucci 8 2 2 4 15:19 8
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 8 7 0 1 18:4 21
2 Comerciantes FC 8 2 3 3 12:7 11
3 ADA Jaen 8 2 4 2 9:9 10
4 Santos FC 8 3 1 4 10:11 10
5 San Marcos 8 1 2 5 4:22 6
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2025 (Play Offs)