Sport Picks
Comerciantes FC vs Tacna Heroica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 2 Estadio Max Augustin, Iquitos 
Match Events
3'
3'
Lopez M.
15'
15'
Lemos M.
17'
17'
Ramua A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tacna Heroica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tacna Heroica lately — more wins on the board than Comerciantes FC.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 14%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes FC | Tacna Heroica |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Tacna Heroica
2:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Comerciantes FC
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Comerciantes FC
2:1
May 18, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Tacna Heroica
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Lemos M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Arevalo F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Tacna Heroica Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lopez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes FC 31 / 100
Tacna Heroica 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes FC Tacna Heroica
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tacna Heroica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes FC scored in 61% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Tacna Heroica conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Comerciantes FC has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes FC VS Tacna Heroica
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes FC
(Home) 07 Oct
Llacuabamba
4 : 0 Comerciantes FC
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
29 Aug
Binacional
1 : 0 Comerciantes FC
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Union Minas
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Comerciantes FC
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo 2
04 Sept
Comerciantes FC
5 : 1 Ayacucho
22 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Union Minas
09 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
24 Jul
Comerciantes FC
1 : 0 Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 3
Tacna Heroica
(Away) 08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1 Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1 Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0 Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1 Tacna Heroica
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0 Tacna Heroica
09 Aug
Comerciantes FC
2 : 2 Tacna Heroica
26 Jul
Binacional
0 : 3 Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
