Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
AI Match Summary
Comerciantes Unidos host Cienciano in the Liga 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Cienciano have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Comerciantes Unidos have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Cienciano slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.63, favoring Cienciano. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cienciano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Cienciano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes Unidos's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Cienciano conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Comerciantes Unidos has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home)Cienciano
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:10 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 3 | Alianza Atl. | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 23:18 | 22 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Universitario de Deportes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 8 | A. Lima | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 19 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 18 |
| 10 | Cusco | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 20:16 | 18 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11:25 | 2 |
