Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
7'
7'
Rasmussen M.
Assist: Correa Flores C. A.
10'
10'
Arrasco M.
Assist: Posito Olazabal A. J.
17'
17'
Alcedo F.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Comerciantes Unidos and FC Cajamarca finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Cajamarca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Cajamarca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and FC Cajamarca come out ahead of Comerciantes Unidos on wins alone.
- Model gives Comerciantes Unidos a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 11%
FC Cajamarca Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | FC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca
2:3
Mar 13, 2026 Liga 1
FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Olivares J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
FC Cajamarca Compare
Top Goalscorer Arrasco M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rasmussen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 35 / 100
FC Cajamarca 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos FC Cajamarca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
FC Cajamarca has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.
Comerciantes Unidos scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Comerciantes Unidos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS FC Cajamarca
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 Juan Pablo II
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 Juan Pablo II
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
07 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
3 : 1 Cusco
26 Jul
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 2 A. Lima
Page 1 of 3
FC Cajamarca
(Away) 10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0 FC Cajamarca
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2 Cusco
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
04 Sept
FC Cajamarca
2 : 5 Cienciano
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
AD Tarma
0 : 0 FC Cajamarca
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2 FC Cajamarca
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
09 Aug
FBC Melgar
2 : 4 FC Cajamarca
27 Jul
Deportivo Garcilaso
2 : 1 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
