Sport Picks
Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal
Peru
Liga 1 Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo 
Match Events
1'
1'
Biaggio C.
11'
11'
Sen M.
Assist: Herrera J.
28'
28'
Sub
Abram L. In: Castro M.
Out: Abram L.
AI Match Summary
Comerciantes Unidos in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Comerciantes Unidos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
33%
40%
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sporting Cristal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sporting Cristal lately — more wins on the board than Comerciantes Unidos.
- Win probability leans Sporting Cristal's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sporting Cristal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 18%
Sporting Cristal Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Comerciantes Unidos | Sporting Cristal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.29 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.29 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal
1:4
Jun 29, 2025 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga 1
Sporting Cristal vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:0
May 25, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Sporting Cristal
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Top Goalscorer Sen M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14
Sporting Cristal Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Comerciantes Unidos 28 / 100
Sporting Cristal 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Comerciantes Unidos Sporting Cristal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes Unidos's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Sporting Cristal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Comerciantes Unidos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Comerciantes Unidos VS Sporting Cristal
0.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
43% Over 1.5 100%
14% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Comerciantes Unidos
(Home) 18 Jul
Moquegua
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
11 Jun
ADA Jaen
2 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
30 May
Sport Boys
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Juan Pablo II
25 May
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
10 May
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 FBC Melgar
25 Apr
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 0 Sporting Cristal
22 Apr
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 0 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Cristal
(Away) 23 Jul
Sporting Cristal
0 : 0 Bragantino
17 Jul
Sporting Cristal
1 : 0 Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Jul
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1 Tacna Heroica
27 Jun
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0 Union Comercio
21 Jun
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 6
21 Jun
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 2 Sporting Cristal
13 Jun
Comerciantes FC
1 : 1 Sporting Cristal
31 May
Cienciano
3 : 2 Sporting Cristal
28 May
Cerro Porteno
2 : 0 Sporting Cristal
21 May
Junior
3 : 2 Sporting Cristal
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario de Deportes | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl. | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | AD Tarma | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)