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Como U19 vs Alessandria U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Burruano A.
29' Event
Chinetti F.
63' Event
Chinetti F.

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2023/2024 game between Como U19 and Alessandria U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Como U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Como U19
20%
Draws
60%
Alessandria U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alessandria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Alessandria U19 haven't matched Como U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Como U19 a 20% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Como U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Alessandria U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como U19 Alessandria U19
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.81 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Primavera 2
Como U19 vs Alessandria U19
3:1
Jan 13, 2024 Primavera 2
Alessandria U19 vs Como U19
2:1
Mar 11, 2023 Primavera 2
Como U19 vs Alessandria U19
1:3
Oct 29, 2022 Primavera 2
Alessandria U19 vs Como U19
3:0
Mar 7, 2022 Primavera 2
Como U19 vs Alessandria U19
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Como U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chinetti F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ortelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Alessandria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burruano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como U19 85 / 100
Alessandria U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como U19 Alessandria U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Como U19 scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Alessandria U19 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Alessandria U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Como U19 VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Como U19

(Home)
10 Sept
Como U19
1 : 1
RB Leipzig U19
18 May
Empoli U19
4 : 1
Como U19
09 May
Entella U19
2 : 2
Como U19
02 May
Como U19
1 : 3
Modena U19
25 Apr
Union Brescia U19
1 : 0
Como U19
Page 1 of 7

Alessandria U19

(Away)
25 May
Crotone U19
3 : 0
Alessandria U19
18 May
Alessandria U19
3 : 1
Crotone U19
11 May
Padova U19
1 : 0
Alessandria U19
04 May
Alessandria U19
0 : 10
Brescia U19
27 Apr
Renate U19
1 : 3
Alessandria U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cremonese U19 30 23 6 1 84:32 75
2 Parma U19 30 17 5 8 60:37 56
3 Venezia U19 30 15 9 6 67:39 54
4 Udinese U19 30 16 3 11 60:45 51
5 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 15 4 11 49:51 49
6 Como U19 30 13 4 13 59:58 43
7 Vicenza U19 30 11 10 9 37:40 43
8 Spal U19 30 11 7 12 44:46 40
9 Sudtirol U19 30 11 6 13 43:53 39
10 Padova U19 30 11 6 13 45:57 39
11 Reggiana U19 30 10 6 14 27:36 36
12 Brescia U19 30 10 5 15 53:46 35
13 Renate U19 30 10 5 15 31:39 35
14 FeralpiSalo U19 30 7 7 16 39:63 28
15 Cittadella U19 30 6 8 16 41:59 26
16 Alessandria U19 30 5 7 18 30:68 22
Promotion - Primavera 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cesena U19 30 22 7 1 95:29 73
2 Benevento U19 30 17 9 4 66:42 60
3 Napoli U19 30 16 6 8 46:29 54
4 Pisa U19 30 14 6 10 45:37 48
5 Ascoli U19 30 14 5 11 49:41 47
6 Entella U19 30 12 9 9 45:36 45
7 Cosenza U19 30 9 13 8 34:37 40
8 Palermo U19 30 10 8 12 35:39 38
9 Perugia U19 30 10 8 12 52:57 38
10 Bari U19 30 10 7 13 54:69 37
11 Spezia U19 30 8 11 11 54:51 35
12 Salernitana U19 30 7 12 11 34:53 33
13 Pescara U19 30 7 10 13 55:61 31
14 Ternana U19 30 8 7 15 30:46 31
15 Monopoli U19 30 6 5 19 25:59 23
16 Crotone U19 30 5 7 18 31:64 22
Promotion - Primavera 1 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2023/2024 (Play Out)