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Como vs Cagliari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Sat, Nov 21, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Como host Cagliari in the Serie A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Como have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against Cagliari's 0.93 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Como slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.81 - 0.94) back Como to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Como
15%
Draws
21%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Como come out ahead of Cagliari on wins alone.
  • Model gives Como a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Como Clean Sheet 20%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como Cagliari
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 6
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.87 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Serie A
Cagliari vs Como
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Cagliari
0:0
May 10, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Cagliari
3:1
Aug 26, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Como
1:1
Jul 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Cagliari vs Como
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como 85 / 100
Cagliari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Como scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Cagliari has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Como went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Como VS Cagliari
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Como

(Home)
27 Oct
Torino
1 : 3
Como
24 Oct
Como
2 : 0
Sassuolo
21 Oct
Como
4 : 1
Manchester United
18 Oct
Fiorentina
1 : 3
Como
14 Oct
Feyenoord
3 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 6

Cagliari

(Away)
27 Oct
AS Roma
4 : 2
Cagliari
24 Oct
Cagliari
0 : 2
Bologna
19 Oct
Monza
4 : 0
Cagliari
11 Oct
Cagliari
1 : 1
Juventus
19 Sept
Udinese
0 : 1
Cagliari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lazio 9 8 1 0 22:7 25
2 Inter 10 8 1 1 26:13 25
3 AS Roma 10 7 3 0 28:10 24
4 AC Milan 10 6 3 1 21:12 21
5 Como 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
6 Frosinone 9 5 2 2 22:14 17
7 Napoli 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Juventus 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
9 Bologna 10 4 2 4 14:13 14
10 Torino 9 4 1 4 14:14 13
11 Cagliari 9 4 1 4 8:13 13
12 Atalanta 9 3 2 4 16:17 11
13 Genoa 9 3 1 5 8:13 10
14 Lecce 9 3 0 6 10:19 9
15 Sassuolo 9 2 2 5 14:22 8
16 Monza 10 2 1 7 17:24 7
17 Fiorentina 9 1 2 6 11:21 5
18 Parma 9 1 2 6 5:15 5
19 Udinese 10 1 2 7 11:23 5
20 Venezia 9 1 0 8 6:19 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)