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Stadium Background

Como vs Parma Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ramon J.
Assist: Paz N.
55'
Sub
Baturina M. In: Caqueret M.
Out: Baturina M.
55'
Sub
Diao A. In: Rodriguez J.
Out: Diao A.

AI Match Summary

Como in this Serie A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Como.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Como
15%
Draws
21%
Parma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Como have won more games recently than Parma.
  • Como are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Como Clean Sheet 68%
Parma Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como Parma
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Serie A
Como vs Parma
2:1
May 17, 2026 Serie A
Como vs Parma
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Como
0:0
May 3, 2025 Serie A
Parma vs Como
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Serie A
Como vs Parma
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Como Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaiki
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Parma Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como 95 / 100
Parma 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como Parma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Como scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Parma's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Como went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Parma registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Como VS Parma
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Como

(Home)
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
Page 1 of 7

Parma

(Away)
20 Sept
Parma
2 : 1
Genoa
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
06 Sept
Parma
1 : 1
Monza
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
29 Aug
Juventus
2 : 0
Parma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)