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Como vs Sassuolo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Como host Sassuolo in the Serie A. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sassuolo have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Como have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.73. Head-to-head, Como have won 2 to Sassuolo's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Como. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Como
30%
Draws
29%
Sassuolo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Como have won more games recently than Sassuolo.
  • Win probability leans Como's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Como have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Como Clean Sheet 15%
Sassuolo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como Sassuolo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.73 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Serie A
Sassuolo vs Como
2:1
Nov 28, 2025 Serie A
Como vs Sassuolo
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Coppa Italia
Como vs Sassuolo
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como 35 / 100
Sassuolo 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como Sassuolo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sassuolo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Como's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Solid form: Como remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Como VS Sassuolo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Como

(Home)
14 Oct
Feyenoord
3 : 2
Como
11 Oct
Como
0 : 0
AS Roma
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
Page 1 of 6

Sassuolo

(Away)
16 Oct
Frosinone
4 : 2
Sassuolo
11 Oct
Sassuolo
1 : 1
AC Milan
18 Sept
Monza
2 : 1
Sassuolo
13 Sept
Sassuolo
3 : 2
Juventus
06 Sept
Bologna
2 : 2
Sassuolo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter 6 5 1 0 18:8 16
2 Lazio 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
3 AS Roma 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
4 Cagliari 6 4 1 1 6:3 13
5 Frosinone 7 4 1 2 13:9 13
6 AC Milan 6 3 3 0 11:5 12
7 Juventus 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
8 Como 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
9 Napoli 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
10 Atalanta 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
11 Sassuolo 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
12 Torino 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
13 Lecce 6 2 0 4 6:12 6
14 Bologna 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
15 Udinese 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
16 Monza 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
17 Genoa 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
18 Parma 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Fiorentina 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
20 Venezia 6 0 0 6 5:16 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)