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Como vs Varese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Como Logo

Como

3 - 1
FT
Varese Logo

Varese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 game between Como and Varese finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Como.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Como
20%
Draws
19%
Varese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Como

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Como carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Como taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Como Clean Sheet 20%
Varese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Como Varese
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 5
Draws 7 15
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.84 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Como vs Varese
3:1
Sep 10, 2017 Serie D - Group A
Varese vs Como
0:1
Aug 14, 2010 Coppa Italia
Como vs Varese
1:3
Jan 10, 2010 Lega Pro C1/A
Varese vs Como
1:0
Aug 30, 2009 Lega Pro C1/A
Como vs Varese
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Como 85 / 100
Varese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Como Varese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Como Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Como found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Recent resilience: Como stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Varese conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Como VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Como

(Home)
14 Sept
Como
2 : 1
Parma
10 Sept
Como
4 : 1
RB Leipzig
04 Sept
Genoa
1 : 4
Como
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2
Como
22 Aug
Udinese
1 : 1
Como
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Varese

(Away)
13 May
OltrepoVoghera
2 : 0
Varese
06 May
Varesina
2 : 1
Varese
29 Apr
Varese
1 : 1
AC Chieri
22 Apr
Varese
2 : 0
Castellazzo
15 Apr
Seregno Calcio
2 : 1
Varese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gozzano 38 25 7 6 68:25 82
2 Como 38 25 6 7 58:27 81
3 Caronnese 38 21 11 6 62:30 74
4 AC Chieri 38 19 14 5 64:37 71
5 Pro Sesto 38 20 7 11 69:43 67
6 Folgore Caratese 38 14 14 10 45:39 56
7 Inveruno 38 14 10 14 44:48 52
8 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 9 15 40:39 51
9 Arconatese 38 14 8 16 37:46 50
10 Bra 38 13 10 15 45:51 49
11 Pavia 38 12 11 15 53:58 47
12 Borgaro 38 11 13 14 35:44 46
13 Olginatese 38 9 18 11 37:44 45
14 Seregno Calcio 38 10 14 14 45:54 44
15 OltrepoVoghera 38 9 16 13 34:47 43
16 Casale 38 10 12 16 41:48 42
17 Varesina 38 10 11 17 33:45 41
18 Varese 38 8 16 14 47:49 40
19 Calcio Derthona 38 5 11 22 25:62 26
20 Castellazzo 38 3 10 25 32:78 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Play Offs)