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Comoros U20 vs Lebanon U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Arab Cup U20 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Kassas A.
25' Event
Mahamoud A.
33' Event
Yacine F.

AI Match Summary

Comoros U20 in this Arab Cup U20 2021 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Comoros U20
20%
Draws
70%
Lebanon U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lebanon U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Lebanon U20 haven't matched Comoros U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Lebanon U20 a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Comoros U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Comoros U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Comoros U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Lebanon U20 Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comoros U20 Lebanon U20
Matches Played 23 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2021 Arab Cup U20
Comoros U20 vs Lebanon U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Comoros U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahamoud A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yacine F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Lebanon U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassas A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros U20 23 / 100
Lebanon U20 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comoros U20 Lebanon U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lebanon U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lebanon U20 let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Comoros U20's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Solid form: Comoros U20 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Comoros U20 VS Lebanon U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros U20

(Home)
23 Sept
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Comoros U20
21 Sept
Zambia U20
3 : 0
Comoros U20
19 Sept
Comoros U20
0 : 0
Botswana U20
01 Oct
Comoros U20
0 : 2
South Africa U20
29 Sept
Malawi U20
2 : 1
Comoros U20
Page 1 of 5

Lebanon U20

(Away)
03 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U20
2 : 3
Lebanon U20
31 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 3
South Korea U20
24 Aug
Lebanon U20
2 : 2
Tajikistan U20
21 Aug
Lebanon U20
0 : 1
Tajikistan U20
05 Jul
Lebanon U20
2 : 1
Syria U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt U20 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Algeria U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Niger U20 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 Mauritania U20 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 3 0 0 15:1 9
2 Tajikistan U20 3 2 0 1 9:8 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 10:8 3
4 Djibouti U20 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Comoros U20 3 2 0 1 8:9 6
3 Iraq U20 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Lebanon U20 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 2021 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tunisia U20 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Yemen U20 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Uzbekistan U20 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Arab Cup U20 2021 (Play Offs)