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Comoros vs Malawi

World World

Friendly International 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Malawi in this Friendly International 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Malawi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Comoros
20%
Draws
40%
Malawi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Comoros lately — more wins on the board than Malawi.
  • Model gives Comoros a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Malawi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Comoros Clean Sheet 20%
Malawi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Comoros Malawi
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.93 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2025 African Nations Championship
Malawi vs Comoros
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 African Nations Championship
Comoros vs Malawi
0:2
Jul 11, 2023 COSAFA Cup
Malawi vs Comoros
2:0
Dec 31, 2021 Friendly International
Comoros vs Malawi
1:2
Jul 10, 2021 COSAFA Cup
Malawi vs Comoros
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Comoros 42 / 100
Malawi 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Comoros Malawi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Malawi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Malawi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Comoros scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Comoros VS Malawi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.4
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.8
75% Over 1.5 20%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Comoros

(Home)
09 Jun
Equatorial Guinea
0 : 1
Comoros
06 Jun
Morocco U23
2 : 1
Comoros
31 Mar
Kazakhstan
1 : 0
Comoros
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
29 Dec
Comoros
0 : 0
Mali
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Malawi

(Away)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Zambia U23
1 : 0
Malawi
18 Nov
Lesotho
0 : 1
Malawi
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