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Compostela vs Atletico Astorga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Compostela host Atletico Astorga in the Segunda RFEF - Group 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. Compostela have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against Atletico Astorga's 1.31 scored and 1.31 conceded. Head-to-head, Compostela have won 2 to Atletico Astorga's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 7, 2016, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.19) back Compostela to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Compostela
15%
Draws
36%
Atletico Astorga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Compostela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Compostela come out ahead of Atletico Astorga on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Compostela Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Astorga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Compostela Atletico Astorga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.4 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Atletico Astorga
4:1
Dec 19, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Compostela
1:1
Mar 28, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Atletico Astorga
2:0
Nov 8, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Atletico Astorga vs Compostela
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Compostela 31 / 100
Atletico Astorga 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Compostela Atletico Astorga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Compostela found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Atletico Astorga conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Atletico Astorga's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Compostela VS Atletico Astorga
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Compostela

(Home)
04 Oct
Compostela
1 : 2
Real Oviedo B
27 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0
Compostela
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0
Sestao
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0
Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2
Derio
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Astorga

(Away)
03 Oct
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Amorebieta
26 Sept
Sestao
2 : 0
Atletico Astorga
19 Sept
Atletico Astorga
3 : 0
Marino De Luanco
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
05 Sept
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1
Portugalete
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Eibar B 5 4 0 1 10:3 12
3 Alaves B 5 4 0 1 12:6 12
4 Sestao 5 4 0 1 7:3 12
5 Ourense CF 5 3 1 1 5:3 10
6 Gernika Club 5 2 2 1 12:5 8
7 Basconia 5 2 2 1 9:8 8
8 Amorebieta 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
9 Portugalete 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Real Oviedo B 5 2 1 2 8:10 7
11 Marino De Luanco 5 2 0 3 6:8 6
12 Coruxo FC 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Compostela 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
14 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 5 1 1 3 6:10 4
15 Llanera 5 1 1 3 5:10 4
16 Atletico Astorga 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
17 Arosa SC 5 0 3 2 6:13 3
18 Rayo Cantabria 5 0 1 4 3:11 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)