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Compostela vs Celtiga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Armental A.
50' Event
Rodriguez A.
81' Event
Parapar J.

AI Match Summary

Compostela in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Compostela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Compostela
15%
Draws
0%
Celtiga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Compostela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Compostela lately — more wins on the board than Celtiga.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Compostela taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Compostela here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Compostela Clean Sheet 68%
Celtiga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Compostela Celtiga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.53 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Celtiga
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Compostela
1:1
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Celtiga vs Compostela
1:5
Sep 1, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Celtiga
3:0
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Compostela vs Celtiga
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Compostela Compare

Top Goalscorer Armental A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parapar J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

Celtiga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Compostela 77 / 100
Celtiga 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Compostela Celtiga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Compostela Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Away concern: Celtiga has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Compostela scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Celtiga has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Compostela VS Celtiga
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Compostela

(Home)
19 Aug
Montaneros
1 : 1
Compostela
18 Jul
Compostela
0 : 4
Dep. A Coruna
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
07 Jun
Compostela
2 : 1
Atletico Arteixo
Page 1 of 6

Celtiga

(Away)
10 May
Arosa SC
3 : 2
Celtiga
01 May
Celtiga
2 : 3
Atletico Arteixo
25 Apr
Noia
3 : 0
Celtiga
19 Apr
Celtiga
0 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arosa SC 34 20 10 4 58:35 70
2 Compostela 34 19 11 4 55:28 68
3 Atletico Arteixo 34 16 10 8 54:44 58
4 Estradense 34 14 11 9 46:33 53
5 Racing Club Villalbes 34 13 13 8 36:29 52
6 Gran Pena 34 13 12 9 57:42 51
7 Somozas 34 13 12 9 37:32 51
8 CD Boiro 34 13 12 9 45:29 51
9 Lugo B 34 12 12 10 41:35 48
10 Montaneros 34 12 12 10 48:42 48
11 Barco 34 13 7 14 35:41 46
12 Alondras 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
13 Celtiga 34 11 7 16 47:48 40
14 Viveiro 34 9 11 14 27:41 38
15 Silva SD 34 9 9 16 36:48 36
16 Cambados 34 4 14 16 24:43 26
17 Noia 34 6 7 21 28:57 25
18 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 4 7 23 25:69 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)