Sport Picks
Compostela vs Derio Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Copa Federacion 
Match Events
67'
67'
Lacuesta Terre A.
72'
72'
Hermo M.
1'
1'
Parapar J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Derio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Derio have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Compostela are scoring more at 1.52.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Derio, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Compostela Clean Sheet 16%
Derio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Compostela | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 9, 2026 Copa Federacion
Compostela vs Derio
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Compostela Compare
Top Goalscorer Hermo M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Derio Compare
Top Goalscorer Lacuesta Terre A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Compostela 31 / 100
Derio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Compostela Derio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Compostela scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Derio has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Compostela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Compostela VS Derio
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Compostela
(Home) 27 Sept
Eibar B
1 : 0 Compostela
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0 Sestao
13 Sept
Portugalete
0 : 0 Compostela
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2 Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3 Marino De Luanco
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Compostela
2 : 0 Sestao
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2 Derio
06 Sept
Compostela
0 : 3 Marino De Luanco
29 Aug
Compostela
4 : 2 Ourense CF
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2 Estradense
Page 1 of 4
Derio
(Away) 26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2 Derio
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0 Santurtzi
16 Sept
Derio
3 : 5 Salamanca CF UDS
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1 Derio
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2 Derio
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2 Derio
12 Sept
San Ignacio
1 : 1 Derio
09 Sept
Compostela
1 : 2 Derio
22 Aug
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
1 : 1 Derio
06 Jun
Leioa
1 : 0 Derio
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Navalcarnero -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
