Sport Picks
Concarneau vs Bastia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Ligue 3 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau 
AI Match Summary
Concarneau host Bastia in the Ligue 3. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Concarneau at 1.23 goals for, 1.13 against; Bastia at 0.96 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Concarneau have won 0 to Bastia's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.81) point toward Concarneau. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Concarneau come out ahead of Bastia on wins alone.
- Concarneau are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concarneau | Bastia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Concarneau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Bastia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Concarneau
(Home)Bastia
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | La Roche Vendee | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Rouen | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | Concarneau | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Versailles | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Amiens SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:3 | 15 |
| 6 | Cannes | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 7 | Caen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 9 | Thionville | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 12 |
| 10 | Fleury 91 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Paris 13 Atletico | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7:9 | 12 |
| 12 | Bastia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 10 |
| 14 | Orleans | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 15 | Valenciennes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Aubagne FC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:12 | 7 |
| 17 | Bourg Peronnas | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 18 | Villefranche | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 4 |
