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Concarneau vs Fleury 91 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 3 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concarneau host Fleury 91 in the Ligue 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fleury 91 have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Concarneau have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.23. Head-to-head, Concarneau have won 2 to Fleury 91's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 27, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.19) point toward Concarneau. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Concarneau
30%
Draws
33%
Fleury 91
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Concarneau haven't matched Fleury 91's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Ligue 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 20%
Fleury 91 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concarneau Fleury 91
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.23 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Fleury 91 vs Concarneau
0:4
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Fleury 91
0:1
May 28, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Fleury 91 vs Concarneau
0:0
Jan 9, 2016 National 2 - Group D
Concarneau vs Fleury 91
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concarneau 36 / 100
Fleury 91 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concarneau Fleury 91

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleury 91 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Concarneau stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Concarneau scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Fleury 91 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Concarneau VS Fleury 91
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Concarneau

(Home)
17 Oct
Concarneau
1 : 1
Bastia
03 Oct
Concarneau
2 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
26 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 1
Concarneau
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0
Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2
Concarneau
Page 1 of 7

Fleury 91

(Away)
17 Oct
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Fleury 91
03 Oct
Fleury 91
3 : 2
Caen
26 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 2
Aubagne FC
19 Sept
Fleury 91
1 : 1
Thionville
12 Sept
Valenciennes
1 : 2
Fleury 91
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Roche Vendee 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
2 Rouen 10 6 2 2 18:8 20
3 Versailles 10 6 1 3 15:13 19
4 Caen 10 6 0 4 19:13 18
5 Concarneau 10 4 5 1 13:9 17
6 Le Puy-en-Velay 10 5 1 4 12:9 16
7 Amiens SC 10 4 4 2 13:4 16
8 Cannes 10 3 6 1 12:6 15
9 Fleury 91 10 4 3 3 16:12 15
10 Paris 13 Atletico 10 4 3 3 10:10 15
11 Quevilly 10 3 4 3 11:14 13
12 Thionville 10 3 3 4 15:16 12
13 Bastia 10 3 3 4 8:12 12
14 Valenciennes 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
15 Orleans 10 2 3 5 9:14 9
16 Aubagne FC 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
17 Villefranche 10 2 1 7 9:23 7
18 Bourg Peronnas 10 1 2 7 5:16 5
Promotion - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Relegation)