Sport Picks
Concarneau vs Villefranche
France
National 2025/2026 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau 
Match Events
3'
3'
Baldoni S.
Assist: Soukouna Y.
5'
5'
Halby J.
Own Goal
38'
38'
Marcel V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
30%
6%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Concarneau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Concarneau lately — more wins on the board than Villefranche.
- Model gives Concarneau a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 20%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concarneau | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 20, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
2:0
May 15, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
2:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Concarneau
0:0
Mar 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Concarneau
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concarneau Compare
Top Goalscorer Baldoni S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jannez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Villefranche Compare
Top Goalscorer Sabihi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concarneau 85 / 100
Villefranche 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concarneau Villefranche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Concarneau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Concarneau has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Concarneau's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: Villefranche conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Concarneau VS Villefranche
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Concarneau
(Home) 19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
12 Sept
Aubagne FC
1 : 2 Concarneau
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
29 Aug
Valenciennes
0 : 0 Concarneau
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 0 Caen
05 Sept
Concarneau
2 : 2 Thionville
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
07 Aug
Concarneau
0 : 2 Orleans
31 Jul
Concarneau
5 : 1 Pontivy
Page 1 of 3
Villefranche
(Away) 19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
12 Sept
Villefranche
0 : 0 La Roche Vendee
05 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
6 : 1 Villefranche
29 Aug
Villefranche
0 : 2 Rouen
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Le Puy-en-Velay
4 : 1 Villefranche
05 Sept
Fleury-Merogis
6 : 1 Villefranche
20 Aug
Concarneau
2 : 0 Villefranche
07 Aug
Bourg Peronnas
3 : 2 Villefranche
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2 Villefranche
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury-Merogis | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
