Sport Picks
Concarneau vs Villefranche
France
National 2025/2026 Stade Guy Piriou, Concarneau 
Match Events
3'
3'
Baldoni S.
Assist: Soukouna Y.
5'
5'
Halby J.
Own Goal
38'
38'
Marcel V.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
11%
9%
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Concarneau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
93%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Villefranche lately — more wins on the board than Concarneau.
- Model gives Concarneau a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Concarneau Clean Sheet 20%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concarneau | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 12 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2026 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
2:2
Aug 8, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Concarneau
0:0
Mar 21, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Concarneau
1:1
Oct 23, 2024 Ligue 3
Concarneau vs Villefranche
1:1
Mar 24, 2023 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Concarneau
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concarneau Compare
Top Goalscorer Baldoni S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jannez G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Villefranche Compare
Top Goalscorer Sabihi N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concarneau 76 / 100
Villefranche 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concarneau Villefranche
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Villefranche has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Concarneau's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Concarneau went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Concarneau VS Villefranche
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Concarneau
(Home) 25 Jul
Laval
1 : 2 Concarneau
22 Jul
Guingamp
0 : 1 Concarneau
18 Jul
Brest
2 : 2 Concarneau
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2 Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2 Villefranche
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Concarneau
1 : 2 Lorient
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2 Villefranche
30 Apr
Concarneau
0 : 0 Paris 13 Atletico
17 Apr
Concarneau
0 : 0 Rouen
03 Apr
Concarneau
0 : 3 Le Puy-en-Velay
Page 1 of 3
Villefranche
(Away) 15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2 Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2 Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0 Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0 Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1 Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2 Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2 Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0 Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0 Villefranche
10 Apr
Stade Briochin
0 : 0 Villefranche
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dijon | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 52:25 | 65 |
| 2 | Sochaux | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 51:26 | 58 |
| 3 | Rouen | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 43:29 | 55 |
| 4 | Fleury-Merogis | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Versailles | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Orleans | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 42:42 | 51 |
| 7 | Le Puy-en-Velay | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 45:38 | 47 |
| 8 | Caen | 32 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 39:34 | 40 |
| 9 | Concarneau | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 32:37 | 38 |
| 10 | Valenciennes | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 11 | Aubagne FC | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 38:46 | 37 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 34:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Quevilly | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:45 | 33 |
| 14 | Paris 13 Atletico | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 26:41 | 32 |
| 15 | Bourg Peronnas | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | 31 |
| 16 | Chateauroux | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 35:49 | 30 |
| 17 | Stade Briochin | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 35:50 | 27 |
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
