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Concon National vs Osorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Segunda Division Atlético Municipal de Concón, Concón
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concon National host Osorno in the Segunda Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Concon National have averaged 1.5 scored and 1.21 conceded recently, against Osorno's 1.43 scored and 1.11 conceded. Head-to-head, Concon National have won 1 to Osorno's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Concon National to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Concon National
15%
Draws
8%
Osorno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Concon National

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Concon National carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Concon National a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Concon National Clean Sheet 20%
Osorno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concon National Osorno
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.5 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Osorno
2:2
Apr 5, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
1:3
Aug 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Concon National vs Osorno
3:3
Apr 6, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Concon National
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concon National 67 / 100
Osorno 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concon National Osorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concon National Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Concon National scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Osorno let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: Concon National remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Concon National VS Osorno
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Concon National

(Home)
13 Sept
Concon National
1 : 0
Colchagua CD
05 Sept
Santiago City
3 : 0
Concon National
29 Aug
Concon National
3 : 1
Linares Unido
22 Aug
Brujas Salamanca
0 : 2
Concon National
16 Aug
Concon National
1 : 3
Trasandino
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Osorno

(Away)
04 Oct
Colchagua CD
2 : 0
Osorno
13 Sept
Osorno
1 : 2
Santiago City
06 Sept
Brujas Salamanca
2 : 1
Osorno
29 Aug
Osorno
2 : 2
Trasandino
16 Aug
Linares Unido
1 : 0
Osorno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santiago City 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 Linares Unido 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
3 Trasandino 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
4 Concon National 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
5 Brujas Salamanca 6 3 0 3 5:7 9
6 Colchagua CD 6 1 1 4 2:4 4
7 Osorno 6 1 1 4 5:9 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)