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Concordia Elblag vs Jaguar Gdansk

World World

Club Friendly 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concordia Elblag play Jaguar Gdansk in the Club Friendly 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Concordia Elblag averaged 1.19 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Jaguar Gdansk averaged 1.65 goals scored and 3.35 conceded. In past meetings, Concordia Elblag won 0, Jaguar Gdansk won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 18, 2017 ended 2:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Concordia Elblag and 2.75 for Jaguar Gdansk. This points to a Jaguar Gdansk double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Concordia Elblag
15%
Draws
49%
Jaguar Gdansk
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Jaguar Gdansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Concordia Elblag picked up more points recently compared to Jaguar Gdansk.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%
Jaguar Gdansk Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Elblag Jaguar Gdansk
Matches Played 31 17
Wins 7 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.19 1.65
Goals Conceded 3.1 3.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 18, 2017 Club Friendly
Concordia Elblag vs Jaguar Gdansk
2:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia Elblag 34 / 100
Jaguar Gdansk 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Elblag Jaguar Gdansk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jaguar Gdansk or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Concordia Elblag attacking → ← attacking Jaguar Gdansk

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

Jaguar Gdansk let in goals in 82% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Concordia Elblag went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Jaguar Gdansk lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

26 Points in last 5 14
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
4.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13