Sport Picks
Concordia Elblag vs Sokol Ostroda Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
74'
74'
Joao Criciuma
89'
89'
Kopka L.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 game between Concordia Elblag and Sokol Ostroda finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Concordia Elblag.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sokol Ostroda
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sokol Ostroda haven't matched Concordia Elblag's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Sokol Ostroda taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 14%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concordia Elblag | Sokol Ostroda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.85 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Sokol Ostroda
2:0
Feb 11, 2023 Club Friendly
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
2:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
4:1
May 6, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Concordia Elblag
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concordia Elblag Compare
Top Goalscorer Joao Criciuma
1 Goals Assists Leader Kopka L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concordia Elblag 15 / 100
Sokol Ostroda 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concordia Elblag Sokol Ostroda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sokol Ostroda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sokol Ostroda let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Concordia Elblag scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Sokol Ostroda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Concordia Elblag VS Sokol Ostroda
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Concordia Elblag
(Home) 18 Jul
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Concordia Elblag
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2 GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2 Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2 Zielona Gora
20 Jul
B. Gdynia
1 : 1 Concordia Elblag
Page 1 of 7
11 Jul
Concordia Elblag
5 : 2 GKS Wikielec
08 Feb
Concordia Elblag
1 : 2 Grom Nowy Staw
25 Sept
Concordia Elblag
0 : 2 Zielona Gora
01 Jun
Concordia Elblag
0 : 3 Warta Sieradz
18 May
Concordia Elblag
1 : 3 LKS Lomza
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Sokol Ostroda
(Away) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
28 May
Pelikan
1 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
21 May
Jagiellonia II
3 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
06 May
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
