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Concordia Elblag vs Swit Mazowiecki

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concordia Elblag play Swit Mazowiecki in the III Liga - Group I 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Concordia Elblag averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1 conceded. Swit Mazowiecki averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Concordia Elblag won 2, Swit Mazowiecki won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2024 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Concordia Elblag and 1.00 for Swit Mazowiecki. This points to a Swit Mazowiecki double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Concordia Elblag
33%
Draws
40%
Swit Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Swit Mazowiecki has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Concordia Elblag.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Swit Mazowiecki.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Concordia Elblag Clean Sheet 20%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Elblag Swit Mazowiecki
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 2.5 1
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:1
Sep 30, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Concordia Elblag
6:0
May 13, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Concordia Elblag
2:0
Oct 8, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Concordia Elblag vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:0
Aug 8, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Concordia Elblag
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Sionkowski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Makarski L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Niesluchowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia Elblag 28 / 100
Swit Mazowiecki 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Elblag Swit Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Elblag scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Swit Mazowiecki let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Concordia Elblag went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Swit Mazowiecki lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concordia Elblag VS Swit Mazowiecki
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919