Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia Hamburg vs Condor Hamburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Concordia Hamburg play Condor Hamburg in the Oberliga Hamburg 2016/2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Concordia Hamburg averaged 2.28 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. Condor Hamburg averaged 1.81 goals scored and 3.06 conceded. In past meetings, Concordia Hamburg won 2, Condor Hamburg won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 12, 2017 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.54 for Concordia Hamburg and 1.43 for Condor Hamburg. This points to a Concordia Hamburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Concordia Hamburg
15%
Draws
33%
Condor Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Concordia Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Concordia Hamburg picked up more points recently compared to Condor Hamburg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 1.43 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 76%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Concordia Hamburg Clean Sheet 17%
Condor Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Hamburg Condor Hamburg
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 2.28 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.55 3.06

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Oberliga Hamburg
Concordia Hamburg vs Condor Hamburg
1:2
Sep 11, 2016 Oberliga Hamburg
Condor Hamburg vs Concordia Hamburg
2:4
Apr 19, 2011 Oberliga Hamburg
Condor Hamburg vs Concordia Hamburg
1:2
Aug 6, 2010 Oberliga Hamburg
Concordia Hamburg vs Condor Hamburg
1:1
May 13, 2010 Oberliga Hamburg
Concordia Hamburg vs Condor Hamburg
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia Hamburg 50 / 100
Condor Hamburg 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Hamburg Condor Hamburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Concordia Hamburg or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.43
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Concordia Hamburg attacking → ← attacking Condor Hamburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia Hamburg scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Condor Hamburg let in goals in 91% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Concordia Hamburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Condor Hamburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 29
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dassendorf34236579:3275
2TSV Buchholz 0834199677:4466
3Altona341810672:4164
4SC Victoria Hamburg34187982:6361
5Concordia Hamburg341851189:5259
6TuS Osdorf341610866:5358
7Wedeler341751277:6756
8Rugenbergen341471367:5449
9Pinneberg341441662:5746
10Condor Hamburg341441662:7246
11Turkiye Wilhelmsburg341291351:6145
12Curslack-Neuengamme341361544:5545
13Barmbek-Uhlenhorst341281456:5544
14Niendorfer TSV341171657:6240
15Suderelbe341061865:7836
16Halstenbek-Rellingen34852137:7229
17Kosova34642432:10622
18Buxtehuder34382340:9117