Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia U20 vs Avai U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Kevin
84' Event
Mateus Lyrio
89'
Gorges J.

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense U20 game between Concordia U20 and Avai U20 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Concordia U20
15%
Draws
85%
Avai U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avai U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Avai U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Avai U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Concordia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Avai U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia U20 Avai U20
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 15
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Concordia U20
8:1
May 23, 2026 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Avai U20
1:1
Jun 21, 2025 Catarinense U20
Avai U20 vs Concordia U20
1:1
Apr 19, 2025 Catarinense U20
Concordia U20 vs Avai U20
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mateus Lyrio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Avai U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kevin
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia U20 10 / 100
Avai U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia U20 Avai U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Avai U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Concordia U20 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Avai U20 let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Avai U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concordia U20 VS Avai U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia U20

(Home)
29 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 2
Chapecoense-SC U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
19 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 3
Barra FC U20
15 Jul
Criciuma U20
1 : 0
Concordia U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
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Avai U20

(Away)
14 Aug
Barra FC U20
1 : 0
Avai U20
07 Aug
Avai U20
0 : 1
Barra FC U20
01 Aug
Figueirense U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
25 Jul
Avai U20
8 : 1
Concordia U20
22 Jul
Nacao U20
1 : 2
Avai U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma U20 18 12 5 1 34:10 41
2 Barra FC U20 18 12 3 3 52:21 39
3 Avai U20 18 11 6 1 45:15 39
4 Chapecoense-SC U20 18 10 3 5 37:26 33
5 Carlos Renaux U20 18 7 3 8 21:32 24
6 Figueirense U20 18 6 5 7 25:24 23
7 Nacao U20 18 5 4 9 32:36 19
8 Concordia U20 18 5 3 10 15:35 18
9 Joinville U20 18 3 3 12 17:41 12
10 Brusque U20 18 1 1 16 14:52 4
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)