Sport Picks
Concordia vs Chapecoense-SC
Brazil
Catarinense Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima, Concórdia 
Match Events
2'
2'
Italo
29'
29'
Matheus Streit
31'
31'
Eduardo Doma
AI Match Summary
Chapecoense-SC in this Catarinense matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapecoense-SC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chapecoense-SC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Chapecoense-SC lately — more wins on the board than Concordia.
- Model gives Chapecoense-SC a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular Catarinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Concordia Clean Sheet 23%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Concordia | Chapecoense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 37 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.16 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.49 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
Oct 15, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Chapecoense-SC vs Concordia
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Chapecoense-SC
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Jan 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Chapecoense-SC vs Concordia
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Concordia Compare
Top Goalscorer Thiago Freitas
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Chapecoense-SC Compare
Top Goalscorer Italo
1 Goals Assists Leader Rafael Carvalheira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Concordia 21 / 100
Chapecoense-SC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Concordia Chapecoense-SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapecoense-SC let in goals in 84% of their last 37 matches.
Concordia scored in 63% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Concordia remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Chapecoense-SC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Concordia
(Home) 22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0 Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1 Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1 Concordia
Page 1 of 6
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2 Criciuma
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0 Brusque
22 Jan
Concordia
1 : 0 Figueirense
14 Jan
Concordia
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
11 Jan
Concordia
0 : 0 Santa Catarina
Page 1 of 3
Chapecoense-SC
(Away) 12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2 Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
23 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 0 Sao Paulo
16 Aug
Chapecoense-SC
3 : 3 Bahia
Page 1 of 8
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
08 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1 Chapecoense-SC
05 Aug
Cruzeiro
2 : 0 Chapecoense-SC
25 Jul
Santos
2 : 2 Chapecoense-SC
Page 1 of 5
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brusque | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 2 | Avai | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Camboriu | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Concordia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 5 | Marcilio Dias | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 6 | Joinville | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:14 | 1 |
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Chapecoense-SC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Barra FC (Santa Catarina) | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Figueirense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 6 | Carlos Renaux | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:8 | 4 |
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)
