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Concordia vs Jaragua-SC Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019
Concordia Logo

Concordia

2 - 1
FT
Jaragua-SC Logo

Jaragua-SC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Concordia in this Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Concordia
20%
Draws
0%
Jaragua-SC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Concordia have won more games recently than Jaragua-SC.
  • Concordia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Concordia Clean Sheet 20%
Jaragua-SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Jaragua-SC
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 9 4
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.58 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2019 Catarinense 2
Jaragua-SC vs Concordia
1:1
Jun 25, 2019 Catarinense 2
Concordia vs Jaragua-SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 85 / 100
Jaragua-SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Jaragua-SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua-SC's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Concordia's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Jaragua-SC has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Concordia VS Jaragua-SC
1 Goals Scored 0.5
3 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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Jaragua-SC

(Away)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
7 : 0
Jaragua-SC
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 2
Nacao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Concordia 16 9 4 3 25:14 31
2 Almirante Barroso 16 9 4 3 24:13 31
3 Jaragua-SC 16 9 3 4 20:16 30
4 Inter de Lages 16 6 3 7 20:22 21
5 Camboriu 16 5 5 6 21:22 20
6 Fluminense de Joinville 16 5 4 7 21:20 19
7 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 16 3 7 6 17:20 16
8 Guarani de Palhoca 16 4 3 9 12:21 15
9 Prospera Criciuma 16 2 7 7 9:21 13
10 Blumenau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato Catarinense 2 2019 (Play Offs)