Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Concordia vs Ponte Preta

Brazil Brazil

Copa Betano do Brasil 2025 Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima, Concórdia
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Foguinho In: Felipe Rangel
Out: Foguinho
14' Event
Everton Brito
25' Event
Danilo Barcelos
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Concordia in this Copa Betano do Brasil 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Concordia
20%
Draws
0%
Ponte Preta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Ponte Preta haven't matched Concordia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Concordia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Concordia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Concordia, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Concordia Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Ponte Preta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 2
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 24
Goals Scored 0.8 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2025 Copa Betano do Brasil
Concordia vs Ponte Preta
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Rangel
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ze Andrade
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Ponte Preta Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Brito
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 86 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Ponte Preta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ponte Preta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Ponte Preta's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Concordia found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ponte Preta
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

Ponte Preta

(Away)
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0
Ponte Preta
23 Aug
Ponte Preta
0 : 2
Avai
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CRB -
Cruzeiro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Internacional de Limeira 0
Vila Nova FC 1
Rio Branco-VN 1
Amazonas 0
Maringa FC 1
EC Juventude 0
Uniao Carmolandense 4
America RN 2
Tocantinopolis 0
Atletico-MG 2
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manaus FC 2
Concordia 2
Ponte Preta 1
Portuguesa 1
Botafogo PB 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamengo RJ -
Operario VG 1
Sport Recife 0
Rio Branco ES 1
Novorizontino 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Corinthians -
Sergipe 0
Ceara 2
Parnahyba 0
Confianca 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Palmeiras -
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maranhao 0
Vitoria 1
Santa Cruz de Natal 0
Nautico 4
Trem 0
Brusque 2
Olaria 1
ABC 0
Pouso Alegre 0
Athletico-PR 2
Guarany de Bage 2
AE Altos 1
Tuna Luso 1
Sampaio Correa 0
Boavista 0
CSA 2
Sao Raimundo RR 1
Gremio 2
Barcelona FC 1
Athletic Club 2
SC Humaita 0
Operario-PR 1
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 1
Tombense 3
Uniao Rondonopolis 0
Vasco 3
Barcelona RO 1
Nova Iguacu 4
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Porto Velho 1
Cuiaba 0
Capital 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
Operario MS 0
Criciuma 1
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 0
Remo 4
Sousa 1
Bragantino 2
Oratorio 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Aguia De Maraba 0
Fluminense 8
Dourados 0
SER Caxias do Sul 2
FC Cascavel 1
America MG 0
Votuporanguense 2
Aparecidense 3
Internacional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ceilandia 3
Coritiba 2
Maracana 2
Ferroviario 1
ASA 1
Atletico GO 2
Jequie 1
Retro 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fortaleza -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
1/32-finals
Santos -
TBD -
TBD -
CRB -
Cruzeiro -
TBD -
Vila Nova FC 6
Rio Branco-VN 0
Maringa FC 4
Uniao Carmolandense 2
Atletico-MG 4
Manaus FC 1
Concordia 0
Botafogo PB 4
TBD -
Flamengo RJ -
Operario VG 0
Novorizontino 1
TBD -
Corinthians -
Ceara 3
Confianca 2
TBD -
Palmeiras -
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
Vitoria 0
Nautico 2
Brusque 2
Olaria 1
Athletico-PR 3
Guarany de Bage 1
Tuna Luso 0
CSA 5
Gremio 4
Athletic Club 3
Operario-PR 1
Tombense 0
Vasco 3
Nova Iguacu 0
Botafogo RJ -
TBD -
Porto Velho 1
Capital 3
Criciuma 2
Remo 1
Bragantino 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Fluminense 2
SER Caxias do Sul 1
FC Cascavel 0
Aparecidense 1
Internacional -
TBD -
Ceilandia 0
Maracana 1
Atletico GO 1
Retro 2
TBD -
Fortaleza -
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
TBD -
Bahia -
1/16-finals
Santos 1
CRB 2
Cruzeiro 5
Vila Nova FC 0
Maringa FC 2
Atletico-MG 6
Botafogo PB 2
Flamengo RJ 5
Novorizontino 0
Corinthians 2
Ceara 0
Palmeiras 4
Sao Paulo 4
Nautico 2
Brusque 0
Athletico-PR 1
CSA 3
Gremio 2
Operario-PR 2
Vasco 3
Botafogo RJ 4
Capital 1
Criciuma 1
Bragantino 6
Fluminense 5
Aparecidense 1
Internacional 4
Maracana 0
Retro 3
Fortaleza 2
Paysandu PA 0
Bahia 5
1/8-finals
CRB 0
Cruzeiro 2
Atletico-MG 2
Flamengo RJ 1
Corinthians 3
Palmeiras 0
Sao Paulo 2
Athletico-PR 3
CSA 1
Vasco 3
Botafogo RJ 3
Bragantino 0
Fluminense 3
Internacional 2
Retro 2
Bahia 3
Quarter-finals
Cruzeiro 4
Atletico-MG 0
Corinthians 3
Athletico-PR 0
Vasco 3
Botafogo RJ 2
Fluminense 2
Bahia 1
Semi-finals
Cruzeiro 2
Corinthians 3
Vasco 3
Fluminense 2
Final
Corinthians 2
Vasco 1