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Concordia vs Santa Catarina Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Domingos Machado De Lima, Concórdia
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Match Events

6'
Pereira Silva M.
46'
Sub
da Costa Silva P. M. In: Gaudencio
Out: da Costa Silva P. M.
46'
Sub
Henrique Lordelo In: Mendes
Out: Henrique Lordelo

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense game between Concordia and Santa Catarina finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Concordia
30%
Draws
54%
Santa Catarina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Catarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Catarina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Catarina a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Santa Catarina here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
Santa Catarina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Concordia Santa Catarina
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Santa Catarina
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Santa Catarina
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Santa Catarina vs Concordia
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Catarinense
Santa Catarina vs Concordia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Concordia 14 / 100
Santa Catarina 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Concordia Santa Catarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Catarina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Concordia's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santa Catarina let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Concordia stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Concordia VS Santa Catarina
0 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Concordia

(Home)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
Page 1 of 6

Santa Catarina

(Away)
20 Sept
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
Figueirense
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
06 Sept
Nacao
2 : 2
Santa Catarina
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
27 Jun
Santa Catarina
1 : 2
EC Sao Jose (PA)
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brusque 6 3 3 0 9:6 12
2 Avai 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Camboriu 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
4 Concordia 6 2 1 3 5:10 7
5 Marcilio Dias 6 2 0 4 6:6 6
6 Joinville 6 0 1 5 3:14 1
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Catarina 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapecoense-SC 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
3 Criciuma 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
4 Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
5 Figueirense 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
6 Carlos Renaux 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
Promotion - Catarinense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Catarinense (Relegation Group)