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Condal vs Barcia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Perez D.
67' Event
Garcia N.
78'
Lastra J.

AI Match Summary

Condal in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Condal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Condal
20%
Draws
64%
Barcia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Barcia haven't matched Condal's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Barcia a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Condal Clean Sheet 17%
Barcia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condal Barcia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 2
Draws 6 6
Losses 19 22
Goals Scored 0.66 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Barcia
2:0
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Barcia vs Condal
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Condal Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Barcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condal 20 / 100
Barcia 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condal Barcia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barcia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barcia has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Difficult form: Barcia registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Condal scored in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Condal VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Condal

(Home)
11 May
Condal
0 : 2
Gijon B
04 May
Union Club Ceares
2 : 0
Condal
27 Apr
Condal
1 : 1
CD Colunga
16 Apr
Covadonga
5 : 0
Condal
13 Apr
Condal
0 : 1
L Entregu CF
Page 1 of 7

Barcia

(Away)
11 May
Tuilla
2 : 2
Barcia
04 May
Barcia
1 : 0
Gijon B
01 May
Condal
2 : 0
Barcia
28 Apr
Barcia
3 : 4
CD Colunga
21 Apr
Real Titanico
3 : 1
Barcia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)