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Condal vs Union Club Ceares - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Condal host Union Club Ceares in the Tercera RFEF - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Union Club Ceares have shipped 1.53 goals a game lately, while Condal have conceded 1.65 and scored 0.84. Past meetings favor Condal slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2025, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.73 xG vs 0.92) point toward Union Club Ceares. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Condal
20%
Draws
17%
Union Club Ceares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Condal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Union Club Ceares come out ahead of Condal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Condal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Condal Clean Sheet 20%
Union Club Ceares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Condal Union Club Ceares
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.84 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Condal
2:0
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Union Club Ceares
2:1
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Union Club Ceares
2:0
Sep 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Union Club Ceares vs Condal
2:1
Jan 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Condal vs Union Club Ceares
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Condal 85 / 100
Union Club Ceares 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Condal Union Club Ceares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Condal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Condal stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Union Club Ceares's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Union Club Ceares registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Condal VS Union Club Ceares
1.33 Goals Scored 1.5
0.33 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 63%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Condal

(Home)
04 Oct
Llanes
1 : 1
Condal
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Condal
0 : 0
CD Mosconia
13 Sept
EI San Martin
0 : 4
Condal
06 Sept
Condal
1 : 0
Club Siero
Page 1 of 7

Union Club Ceares

(Away)
03 Oct
Union Club Ceares
1 : 2
EI San Martin
26 Sept
Club Siero
2 : 0
Union Club Ceares
20 Sept
Union Club Ceares
3 : 4
CD Colunga
13 Sept
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1
Langreo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Covadonga 5 4 1 0 14:4 13
2 Gijon B 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
3 CD Mosconia 5 3 2 0 8:1 11
4 Condal 5 3 2 0 8:2 11
5 CD Colunga 5 3 1 1 9:7 10
6 Caudal Deportivo 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
7 Club Siero 5 3 0 2 6:3 9
8 Langreo 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
9 Gijon Industrial 5 2 1 2 8:6 7
10 Lealtad 5 2 1 2 5:4 7
11 EI San Martin 5 1 2 2 5:10 5
12 Praviano 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
13 L Entregu CF 5 1 1 3 2:6 4
14 Union Club Ceares 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
15 Llanes 5 0 3 2 6:12 3
16 Aviles Stadium 5 1 0 4 2:9 3
17 Astur 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
18 Andes CF 5 0 1 4 2:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)